BUFFALO, N.Y. — So far this month, every weekend has featured either rain, and wind or snow, and this weekend will be no different.
A large low pressure system will make its way to and through Western New York over the weekend. Friday this system brought a few waves of rain and helped temperatures rise into the low 50s. There's the chance for some loud thunderstorms overnight into Saturday morning, the remnants of stronger storms that develop to our west.
As for Saturday, this is when wind gusts could reach up to 50 mph throughout the day. A Wind Advisory begins at 5 a.m. and lasts until 7 p.m. Saturday for every county in Western New York and McKean and Potter counties in northern Pennsylvania. Wind gusts and a breeze of this strength could lead to minor property damage and a few power outages. The strongest gusts are expected in the mid afternoon after a round of storms roll through.
Saturday will start off dry and breezy with temperatures in the mid 50s. Temperatures will get a boost into the upper 50s to low 60s just before a cold front moves through and brings the potential for strong to severe storms Saturday afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has Western New York within a "slight" severe weather risk for Saturday, where the strongest storms could bring damaging wind gusts and heavy rain.
These storms Saturday afternoon will develop ahead of another strong cold front, which will drop temperatures but keep winds gusty into the evening. As temperatures fall, any rain showers could transition back to a wintry mix Saturday night with a few snow showers even lingering into early Sunday morning. This, of course, comes with a temperature drop with morning lows reaching the upper 20s.Sunday will be a calm and cooler day, similar to this past Thursday. Mostly sunny for Sunday with afternoon highs only in the low 40s.
Between about three rounds of widespread rain, rain totals between Friday and Saturday will range between about an inch to an inch and a half. Some towns impacted by the largest showers could see upwards of 2 inches. Flooding is not a concern at this point, but the ground is definitely going to be wet with some ponding potential on roadways during heavy rains.
The biggest concern is the threat of wind damage or power outages between both the gusty system winds and potentially from severe storms.